The Bears had their chance, and they blew it.
Recent history suggests the Bears won't come within sniffing distance of the Super Bowl for another twenty years. After all, there has been seven different representatives of the NFC in the last seven years, and only one of the seven has even made the playoffs in the following season (Seattle). Plus, they've had tremendous luck with injuries these last two years. Further, the Bears have only won a championship roughly once every 20 years since they were the dominant franchise in the 40s. (46, 63, 85, 2006?) Finally, their schedule next year is sure to be among the toughest in the league. Great! Now that it's settled that the Bears are going to suck, I'm going to go burn my all my Bears clothing and start rooting for the Packers.
Screw that. With a defeatist attitude like that, you might as well not even watch sports. All through the 90s and the Dave Wannstedt era, every season brought a slim shred of hope that said, "this might be the year." There was hope with Jauron and Shoop. Certainly a team bringing back at least 18 starters next season should be a strong favorite in their conference. So let's take a look at the 2007 Bears, and try to figure out if this team has a legitimate chance to win the Super Bowl.
Defense:
The bread and butter of the 2006 Bears will remain so in 2007. With or without Ron Rivera, I don't expect this unit to slip much, if at all. Mike Brown should be back from injury, though he's reached the Mark Prior point of his career where he can't be counted on. Expect the Bears to pick up a Safety in the draft for the third year in a row. The rest of the secondary, featuring Vasher, Tillman, and the Mannings, should continue to provide excellent defense if not get better.
Lance Briggs is a free agent, and I'm not feeling especially good about the chances of him returning. With Rosenhaus as his agent, and with the way teams have been using poison pills to steal franchise players, not to mention the Bears miserly history, it all adds up to Lance saying bye-bye. I can't sugarcoat this, losing Briggs would be a tremendous loss to the organization, as I don't think the Bears have an adequate replacement on the roster. If it were up to me, I'd pay the man whatever he wants. If someone like the Redskins swoops in with a bag o' cash and Lance leaves, free agency seems the way to go. But we'll see. Urlacher and Hillenmeyer are going nowhere, nor should they.
The defensive line figures to have a lot of turnover this offseason. With Tommie Harris coming back, Scott and Boone entering free agency, Tank Johnson potentially headed to jail, and Dvoracek returning from injury, there's going to be a lot of different faces than what we saw on the field this past Sunday. Here's another move to consider: Trade Alex Brown. While he's a very solid, pro-bowl-alternate type of player, I think he's about as good as he's ever going to be. Not to mention the Bears already have his replacement in Mark Anderson, who simply dominated every time he got on the field. If you're not going to trade Brown, perhaps the Bears can give Anderson a go of it at Linebacker and see what happens. He played LB in college, and he's not especially large. Just throwing ideas out there. The line, despite the potentially high turnover rate, should still be very tough next season.
Special Teams:
Maynard, Gould, Hester, Ayanbedajo, Peterson, Wesley, and the rest are all coming back and are all among the best in the league so there's not much point belaboring the issue. The only thing to note is Special Teams coach Dave Toub might be leaving, but I suspect whoever Lovie hires to replace him will utilize the same scheme. (same goes if Rivera leaves the defense.)
Offense:
The offensive line has been a rock for the last two years, and this steady play has really been the key to the Bears success. In 2004, the defense was almost as good as 2005. The offensive line was in shambles, though, and that combined with a horrendous QB situation left the Bears with a 5-11 record. Two straight years of steady play and health on the line, and the Bears (despite the continuously shaky QB), were in the Super Bowl. It's not a coincidence. Ruben Brown is the only free agent, and I'd give him a two or three year deal. He's pretty athletic for a big man, and I don't suspect he'll decline much. Finally, I'd also spend a high draft pick on a stud tackle. Miller isn't a youngster, and this good run of health isn't likely to continue.
Other than Moose, the Receivers are young and good. (Moose is neither -- shazam!) Berrian is awesome, so no complaints there. Rashied Davis is a nice underdog story and he's made some big catches, but I don't think he can be counted on as more than a 3rd receiver. Mark Bradley had strike two this year with the injuries, and while he's looked amazing at times, he's got to play a complete season or else I cut him. And I still wouldn't mind picking up a Tight End, but Desmond Clark served me up a warm cup of shut the f--k up this season, so as far as I'm concerned the job is his to lose.
Benson vs. Jones, the second greatest debate. Both are under contract next year, but there's been a lot of talk about Jones exiting stage left. I don't know. Benson's a bruiser and looks like an elite running back at times. Yet every time he got going, Thomas Jones came through with a great game to re-establish his status as the number one back. I'd like to keep both of them. I think they complement each other perfectly. Bruise 'em with Benson, then bring in the cutback runner for the big yards. I'm beyond the point where I worry about paying a part-time runner $16 million dollars. But that money's already spent and it'd be wise to continue to get the most amount of production out of both players. One thing I do not do is give Jones an extension. As much as I appreciate what he's done in Chicago, running backs have a short shelf life. Watch him have another great year in '07, then let some other team pay big bucks to watch him decline.
Now it's time for THE debate. Rex Grossman. Man, what are we going to do with this guy? I say, go into next year with him as the starter, but have a short leash. If he starts this yo-yo, 100.0 one week, 0.0 the next shit; sit his ass down and go with Griese. It's very possible that Griese could have won that Super Bowl. I wasn't in favor of finding out, as I thought (and still think) Rex was more likely to win a shootout. But safe and efficient might have won that game, and that's what Griese appears to be. Speaking of, I don't get the excessive criticism of Grossman after Sunday. Sure, he was lousy, but he alone did not lose that Super Bowl. The defense's failure to stop the Colts on third down, Ron Turner's playcalling, and even Benson's injury all contributed to the embarrassment. Grossman was very bad, but his performance isn't one of the 10 worst QB performances in a Super Bowl ever. (Bottom 12 or 15? Yeah, probably, but not the worst ever.)
Finally, Lovie Smith. Pay the man. Vault his salary into the top 10. He doesn't need to be top 5 or anything, but I think he's established that he's on the cusp of the top 10 head coaches in the league. I really can't find much fault in the guy. He'll make a stupid decision every two or three games, but that's nothing compared to his predecessors. They made two or three dumb decisions per game, and they never came within sniffing distance of a Super Bowl. So open the checkbook, and give him what he wants.
And with that, I'm done with the Bears for a few weeks. I'm going to take some time, collect my thoughts, and maybe check out a Bulls game or two. And Spring Training is right around the corner. Time to see if this Soriano cat is worth all the fuss. Till then....BEAR DOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!