I have never done this at CSB - I've invited a guest writer to join me in covering the Super Bowl. It is the Super Bowl. Why not, right?
You have all read a ton of stories leading up to the big game. MJ did a great job pointing out all the great stuff floating around online, on tv, and in the papers. Every angle anyone could think of has been covered. Except this one. (as far as I know)
Our special guest today is Matt from MVN's Colts Couch Crew. You may remember Matt as the guy who drafted for the Colts in our Mock draft last year. I've asked Matt to take the time to write us a piece about how the Bears could beat his Colts. I figured it would be way more interesting to see a Colts fan's perspecitve on this. He knows his team way better than I do, and that means he knows their weaknesses better than I do. So without further ado:
Going into Sunday’s Super Bowl XLI as an Indianapolis Colts fan, here is what I’m scared of:
Devin Hester. And not only Hester, but Colts return man Terrance Wilkins could be a factor as well if he can’t take care of the ball. Should the Colts allow it, this game could absolutely be decided by special teams. Had the New England Patriots been able to convert some of the long returns from the AFC Championship game into touchdowns, then I might not be writing this column today.
But they didn’t. And maybe it provided a wake-up call for Colts’ special teams. If not, we may see a rookie win the Super Bowl XLI MVP.
The Chicago Secondary. Although I’m not necessarily scared of this, seeing as how we saw it the last time the Colts played, it seems appropriate to at least consider. If the Bears can make as many huge plays in the secondary that Ellis Hobbs and Asante Samuels of the Pats made two weeks ago, then things definitely won’t run as smoothly as the Colts are anticipating.
It has to be frustrating for Manning to finally get man coverage on either Marvin Harrison or Reggie Wayne after throwing constantly throwing underneath, only to have two or three touchdowns literally stopped by a single defensive hand. Look for Wayne and Harrison to be more aggressive in pursuing the deep ball on Sunday, but sometimes you just can’t defend great defense.
The Colts Secondary. I really wanted to start this section off titled, “Rex Grossman,” but who is honestly going to believe that a Colts fan is afraid of Sexy Rexy? Well, I’ve got some news. There is one thing in the Bears’ passing game that could work very well Sunday, and that is the deep ball. Grossman is probably his best when throwing it. The Colts are around mediocre in defending it. And the Bears’ receivers could out-size and out-man the Colts’ secondary for some of those jump balls should Grossman have the time to air it out.
Not to mention one of starters, Nick Harper, isn’t looking good for the game. But the Bears will have to be careful and pick and choose when they try to go deep. If Grossman drops back five or seven steps on a third-and-nine or third-and-six, there’s a good chance that without perfect protection from his line that he’s going down. The Colts are built exactly for those downs, and in order for them to be successful Sunday, barring a complete Grossman meltdown of course, it will be almost imperative for them to get pressure on Grossman throughout the game and on those particular downs.
Peyton Manning. Well, come on, there’s not guarantee anywhere that says the best player in this game is going to play his best, so of course I’m a little scared. Do I think Manning is going to meltdown? Not in the least bit. I believe there was a great deal of pressure taken off Manning’s back in the win over New England to the point where he’s even taken all or most of the pressure of himself this Sunday. I think we will see Manning at his ultimate best * checking down, running the ball, staying patient and exploiting weaknesses. But there’s a reason he’s thrown six pics in the playoffs, so I thought this merited mentioning.
Dallas Clark. The Bears cover-2 will ideally smother the Colts outside receivers, especially along the sidelines. Whether Urlacher rushes to leave Clark open in the middle, or whether Urlacher has single coverage on Clark, he will be big in this game. But if you’ve seen the guy in the past, he has had ball control problems, and I’m not trying to say that he’s on Viagra. He’s been pretty good this year, but he carries the ball looser than I carry a beer after I’ve had 20 of them. If we go to Clark, he must be able to withstand those scrappy Bears going for the ball.
Finally, what really scares me that no one is talking about is the Bears running game, which has come alive in the playoffs. Few people realize this, but its not THAT you run against the Colts defense; its WHEN you run against the Colts defense. Remember all those third-and-nine’s and third-and-seven’s the Patriots had early in the game? Remember seeing the draw to Kevin Faulk and Corey Dillon? Remember the first downs and big yardage gains? I do. And it scares me.
The Colts pass rush, led by Dwight Freeney, absolutely thrives on those types of ‘passing downs.’ The only way to fight it isn’t going to be throwing to Mushin Muhammed on those downs; its going to be running it right down the Colts’ gut while their ends rush upfield and outside. The best way they can keep Grossman from making turnovers is if they can successfully run the ball on second and third downs. This will neutralize the Colts pass rush.
I don’t believe either team, nor either quarterback, must play a perfect game to win. Both of these defenses are so opportunistic that they have the ability to keep their teams in the game. Not to mention the Bears historic special teams play of this year. With all of these factors at work, and Manning, who brought his team back from a 21-3 deficit the last time they played, I wouldn’t turn this game off until I was sure I heard my sister, or some other fat lady, singing mighty loudly. Go Colts!